In 1990, a sample of psychology graduate students at the University of Florida made blind, pairwise preference tests of three cola drinks. For 49 comparisons of Coke and Pepsi, Coke was preferred 29 times. For 47 comparisons of Classic Coke and Pepsi, Classic Coke was preferred 19 times. For 50 comparisons of Coke and Classic Coke, Coke was preferred 31 times. Comparisons resulting in ties are not reported.
a. Fit the Bradley – Terry model, analyze the quality of fit, and rank the drinks. Is there sufficient evidence to conclude a preference for one drink?
b. Estimate the probability that Coke is preferred to Pepsi, using the model, and compare to the sample proportion.